The road to nowhere

October 16, 2013

An experts panel of 21 top scientists in the field of fusion research has recently met to assign new objectives to ITER and define a new roadmap: please have a look at the article on Nature here.

They are top-level researchers, engineers, directors of labs with a load of experience which completely crushes my modest know-how. And yet, I don’t understand what they try to do. Or I understand too much: they try to do politics.

To quickly summarize the new roadmap, they want to focus everything on achieving break-even with a gain factor of 10, i.e., you produce ten times more power than you feed in your tokamak. And to do that, they skip every physics experiments which were supposed to pave the way to this goal (well, they postpone these experiments until 2030). The idea is simple: we know how a tokamak work, we have an interpolation figure for the confinement time in function of the machine’s parameters; we just have to build it: this is an engineering problem. The physics will help in tuning the system.

This is a very risky bet. We are far from understanding all aspects of a fusion plasma, even on present machines. A simple example: the H-mode, which is an improved mode of confinement of the plasma. There is no accepted theory of it. The associated instabilities, the ELMs (Edge Localized Modes), are not completely understood. We throw all this problems in the freezer and say: no worry, we will take huge margins and we will manage to reach Q=10.

torus_transformer

This is a short-sighted approach, driven by the problems of funding: ITER managers need a quick visible result; something that will create the buzz, that will compete with the announcements of the NIF that they have already reached break-even. When I say quickly, the next opportunity is in 2027: this machine requires time to be built. But with this goal, you lose the big picture: ITER is supposed to provide the experimental foundations for a future power plant. And you get them by doing basic physics experiments. Even if they manage to achieve this primary goal, what will they do next? The physicists who were supposed to work as soon as 2020 will have to wait one more decade: they will not wait, they will go to other fields. In the end, you will have a machine for engineers with great chances that they do not understand, without the help of physicists, why it does not work.

I love plasma physics and fusion research: this is a beautiful area of physics; perhaps not so elegant as fundamental physics, but not so muddy as fluid mechanics: the plasma has a coherence that classical fluids do not have: you can elaborate nice theories of turbulence, gyrokinetics, hamiltonian and even better, you can see them in action in the tokamak. Huge progresses have been made since the concepts was proposed in the 50s. There still are some major hurdles and ITER, even if it was not the best choice, would have been a great tool to improve our knowledge. I fear that we are about to miss the moon.


Short illustrated plasma course – part III

February 22, 2012

Last part about particle trajectories in a plasma with magnetic field for today. With that we will be able to understand the configuration of a tokamak and how particles behave in its particular magnetic field.


Short illustrated plasma course – part II

February 22, 2012

Next step in understanding plasma confinement for fusion energy: the trajectory of plasma particles inside a magnetic field.


Short illustrated plasma course – part 1

February 22, 2012

To understand fusion energy with magnetic confinement, the first thing to know is the nature of a plasma.


ITER facts

February 22, 2012

ITER will be the biggest tokamak to be built to test nuclear fusion with magnetic confinement.
It is also one of the biggest experiments to be built.
M. Merola, the head of ITER Divertor group have found good comparisons to make feel the order of magnitude of this machine’s size.
You can find details of his presentation here:

http://www.fusioniteropportunities.org.uk/presentations/2010/Merola_2010lo.pdf

 


US to enter the Wendelstein 7X project

July 8, 2011

This is now official: several american labs will cooperate with the Max Planck Institute to the development of the stellarator Wendelstein 7X (W7X) located in Greifswald.

modul_4_umsetzung

Assembly of W7X - Credits Max Planck Institute for Plasma physics

You will find a good technical overview of the project in this presentation by T. Klinger.

One one hand, the physics of a stellarator is a bit simpler than the physics of tokamaks. On the other hand, the engineering can be seen as a nightmare because the facility is not axi-symmetric: just have a look at the shape of each coil: they all are unique.

Configuration of magnetic coils on W7X - Credit MPI-Plasma Physics

W7X will be the biggest stellarator in operation and has a budget of about 420M€; it should start in 2015.

The project was, at its beginning, controversial, because most of the funding was supported by Germany (with 30% help of the European Union) and it was seen as a competitor of ITER: some people did not see the point of spending some much on several big fusion facilities.  In addition, given the complexity, the project faced schedule and cost challenges. But the management was improved in the german way and now the construction is really on a good track. I find the smoothness very impressing, at least in comparison with ITER. But there is, I think, a good reason for this difference: there is only one main contributor, Germany. Just one head to drive and the management of interfaces becomes easier. Of course, there are other countries involved, especially Poland, but the decision process is far clearer than on ITER.

The participation of the US is a very good sign that the project is in good shape. Indeed, the budget allocated to magnetic confinement fusion is quite low (lower than on Inertial Fusion, which is also supported by military budgets) there and they already have several machines (DIII-D, Alcator C-Mod,… ) to run. I have, for instance, the feeling that ITER is not one of their priorities. That they are ready to collaborate in a foreign project, is really a very good news.

For those who are interested to work there (and they often have open positions), these are some pictures of the city of Greifswald (which has a big university):

But with hard winters!


EPS Conference: part II

July 4, 2011

I took an extended week-end to recover from the particularly busy month of June, a week-end far away from plasma physics and fusion research. But I was not finished with the summary from last week’s EPS conference in Strasbourg. This is the story of the second part of the conference.

The thursday’s session  had a taste of AIAA conference with a talk on reentry plasmas (more generally on kinetics in molecular gases) by Capitelli and one on plasma space propulsion. I must admit that I did not completely follow the  logic behind the presentation, it was a bit too fast for me; if someone has some complements, or an easy way to develop the presentation, he is welcome . I saw that there was a big consortium called Phys4entry organised for the 7th framework program of the european union. I should write a post on the issue of this FP: look at the list of participants and tell me how many they are: a lot, indeed! I would like that somebody from the EU explain me how to manage with limited funding so many interfaces between big companies, labs and startups. But this is another story.

The second talk on plasma thrusters, by E. Ahedo, had my full attention: the presentation of the requirements for space engines was good, with highlights on the two main drivers: specific impulse and thrust and the trade-off to do to achieve mission objectives. I was a bit disappointed by the presentation of the different types of thrusters. It was more an enumeration of the technical specs of each engine than an explanation of their principle. I think he should have narrowed the scope of its talk and focused on a small number of systems, for instance the Hall thruster and the Vasimr engine, which really have a lot of common parts with auxiliary systems for tokamaks and stellerators  (helicon source like in NBI, ICRF heating…). But well, he had a stringent time limit. Anyway, there also were some posters on the topic of helicon sources which have applications for these space thrusters.

We had again a full series of talks on transport (ok it is normal, it is issue #1), with ion heat transport on JET, and a special emphasis on the effect of plasma rotation. A particular noteworthy presentation concerned the I mode on Alcator C-Mod and ASDEX Upgrade by Hubbard. The I mode is an intermediate mode between the Low confinement mode and the High confinement mode, the famous H-mode. In the I mode, we have an independent control of energy and particle confinement, with a pedestal in Te and Ti but without density barrier: the energy is confinement but the particles not and fusion ashes can be swept out without extinguishing the reaction.

On the last day of the conference, we had a contact between two worlds: the world of plasma physics and the world of medicine,, with a presentation on synergistic effects in plasma-surface interactions by D. Graves and on application of non-equilibrium plasma by G. Kroesen. I won’t go into the details but the main idea is that a plasma is created in the air at the interface with the skin; the plasma enhances some  specific chemical reactions which can help, for instance, to treat wounds (with some nice pictures of them at 8.30, the day after the conference dinner!). I have a lot admiration for these people who create bridges between two continents of science: this requires to be open-minded, self-confident and of course  a bit crazy.

I followed, to finish, the parallel sessions dedicated to magnetic confinement fusion, to have a look at the numerical tools used to design and develop the plasma scenarii for ITER (by G. Giruzzi), with codes like CRONOS, METIS, HELIOS. The purpose is to develop scenarios with a strongly enhanced level of self-organization, with self-heating, Alfven eigenmodes and high bootstrap current. Well each time, I hear the phrase “self-organization”, I do not make a connection with tokamaks but with spheromaks.

Some other talks on current ramp on MAST and on current overshoot on ASDEX Upgrade to reach the improved H-mode were among the last noticeable talk I would like to mention.

All in all, an interesting conference which makes it possible thanks to a great effort of communication  to discover new areas of research. The big topic is transport driven by turbulence in tokamaks, with a subsection related to rotation. ASDEX Upgrade was very present with the use of RMF coils for the first time and it was the only big tokamak in Europe in operation last year.  People from CCFE had also very good talks, well prepared, cleared, proving once again the seriousness of this reference in scientific research.

I hope that I gave to people who were not present a feeling of the content of this conference and if you have some questions or comments, please do not hesitate.


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